World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Netherlands: 78.9% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. The lead changed hands 1 time. The winners came from behind.
Meeting 5 of 24, 1920–2023.
Before
After
Before
After
From Netherlands's side.
| 18 Jun 2023 | Italy | 2–3 | Home | UEFA Nations League 2023 | — |
| 14 Oct 2020 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Nations League 2020 | — |
| 7 Sep 2020 | Italy | 0–1 | Home | UEFA Nations League 2020 | — |
| 4 Jun 2018 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 28 Mar 2017 | Italy | 1–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 4 Sep 2014 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 6 Feb 2013 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 14 Nov 2009 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 9 Jun 2008 | Italy | 3–0 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2008 | Group stage |
| 12 Nov 2005 | Italy | 1–3 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 29 Jun 2000 | Italy | 0–0 (lost on pens) | Home | UEFA Euro 2000 | Semi-final |
| 9 Sep 1992 | Italy | 2–3 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 26 Sep 1990 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 21 Feb 1990 | Italy | 0–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 16 Nov 1988 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 6 Jan 1981 | Italy | 1–1 | Neutral | Mundialito 1981 | — |
| 24 Feb 1979 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 21 Jun 1978 | Italy | 2–1 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 1978 | Group stage |
| 22 Nov 1975 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1975 | — |
| 20 Nov 1974 | Italy | 3–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1974 | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none