World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Ecuador: 43.7% (a draw counts half), home advantage included.
Meeting 3 of 27, 1970–2026.
Before
After
Before
After
From Ecuador's side.
| 30 Jun 2026 | Mexico | 0–2 | Away | FIFA World Cup 2026 | Round of 32 |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Mexico | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Mexico | 0–0 | Neutral | Copa América 2024 | Group stage |
| 5 Jun 2022 | Mexico | 0–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 27 Oct 2021 | Mexico | 3–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 9 Jun 2019 | Mexico | 2–3 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 19 Jun 2015 | Mexico | 2–1 | Neutral | Copa América 2015 | Group stage |
| 31 May 2014 | Mexico | 1–3 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 28 May 2011 | Mexico | 1–1 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 4 Sep 2010 | Mexico | 2–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 7 May 2010 | Mexico | 0–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 12 Nov 2008 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 1 Jul 2007 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Copa América 2007 | Group stage |
| 28 Mar 2007 | Mexico | 2–4 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 27 Oct 2004 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 13 Jul 2004 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Copa América 2004 | Group stage |
| 10 Mar 2004 | Mexico | 1–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 9 Jun 2002 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 2002 | Group stage |
| 20 Sep 2000 | Mexico | 0–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 27 Oct 1999 | Mexico | 0–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none