World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Iceland: 95.7% (a draw counts half), home advantage included.
Meeting 5 of 9, 1976–2023.
Before
After
Before
After
From Iceland's side.
| 13 Oct 2023 | Luxembourg | 1–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2023 | — |
| 8 Sep 2023 | Luxembourg | 1–3 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2023 | — |
| 14 Nov 2009 | Luxembourg | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 10 Mar 1999 | Luxembourg | 2–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 8 Sep 1993 | Luxembourg | 1–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 1993 | — |
| 20 May 1993 | Luxembourg | 1–1 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 1993 | — |
| 28 Mar 1990 | Luxembourg | 2–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 24 Apr 1985 | Luxembourg | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 21 Aug 1976 | Luxembourg | 3–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none