World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Ecuador: 57% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. An upset — the lower-rated side won.
Meeting 32 of 50, 1938–2024.
Before
After
Before
After
From Ecuador's side.
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: ESPN