World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Paraguay: 43.4% (a draw counts half), home advantage included.
Meeting 2 of 21, 1961–2025.
Before
After
Before
After
From Paraguay's side.
| 18 Nov 2025 | Mexico | 2–1 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Mexico | 1–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 26 Mar 2019 | Mexico | 2–4 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 28 May 2016 | Mexico | 0–1 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 26 Mar 2011 | Mexico | 1–3 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 8 Jul 2007 | Mexico | 0–6 | Neutral | Copa América 2007 | Quarter-final |
| 5 Jun 2007 | Mexico | 1–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 25 Mar 2007 | Mexico | 1–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 29 Mar 2006 | Mexico | 1–2 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 26 Mar 2003 | Mexico | 1–1 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 15 Jul 2001 | Mexico | 0–0 | Neutral | Copa América 2001 | Group stage |
| 13 Oct 1999 | Mexico | 1–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 28 Apr 1999 | Mexico | 2–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 18 Mar 1998 | Mexico | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 6 Jul 1995 | Mexico | 2–1 | Neutral | Copa América 1995 | Group stage |
| 10 Jun 1993 | Mexico | 1–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 7 Jun 1986 | Mexico | 1–1 | Away | FIFA World Cup 1986 | Group stage |
| 24 Apr 1966 | Mexico | 0–7 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 5 Nov 1961 | Mexico | 0–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 1961 | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: none · Line-ups: none · Cards: none