World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Serbia: 59.1% (a draw counts half), home advantage included.
Meeting 15 of 22, 1925–2011.
Before
After
Before
After
From Serbia's side.
| 7 Oct 2011 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2011 | — |
| 12 Oct 2010 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2010 | — |
| 8 Jun 2005 | Italy | 1–1 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 10 Sep 2003 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2003 | — |
| 12 Oct 2002 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2002 | — |
| 31 Mar 1988 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 23 Sep 1987 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 17 Oct 1981 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 1981 | — |
| 15 Nov 1980 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 1980 | — |
| 13 Jun 1979 | Italy | 4–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 18 May 1978 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 25 Sep 1976 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 28 Sep 1974 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 20 Sep 1972 | Italy | 1–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 10 Jun 1968 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | UEFA Euro 1968 | Final |
| 8 Jun 1968 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Euro 1968 | Final |
| 12 May 1957 | Italy | 6–1 | Home | Central European International Cup 1957 | — |
| 29 May 1955 | Italy | 4–0 | Away | Central European International Cup 1955 | — |
| 6 May 1951 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 4 Jun 1939 | Italy | 1–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none