World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Sweden: 29.8% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. An upset — the lower-rated side won.
Meeting 13 of 25, 1912–2017.
Before
After
Before
After
From Sweden's side.
| 13 Nov 2017 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 2017 | — |
| 10 Nov 2017 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 2017 | — |
| 17 Jun 2016 | Italy | 0–1 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2016 | Group stage |
| 18 Nov 2009 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 18 Jun 2004 | Italy | 1–1 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2004 | Group stage |
| 19 Jun 2000 | Italy | 1–2 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2000 | Group stage |
| 23 Feb 2000 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 2 Jun 1998 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 14 Nov 1987 | Italy | 1–2 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1987 | — |
| 3 Jun 1987 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1987 | — |
| 26 Sep 1984 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 15 Oct 1983 | Italy | 3–0 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1983 | — |
| 29 May 1983 | Italy | 2–0 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1983 | — |
| 26 Sep 1979 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 29 Sep 1973 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 9 Oct 1971 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1971 | — |
| 9 Jun 1971 | Italy | 0–0 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1971 | — |
| 3 Jun 1970 | Italy | 0–1 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 1970 | Group stage |
| 16 Jun 1965 | Italy | 2–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 26 Oct 1952 | Italy | 1–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none