World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Norway: 23.7% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. An upset — the lower-rated side won.
Meeting 8 of 19, 1920–2025.
Before
After
Before
After
From Norway's side.
| 16 Nov 2025 | Italy | 4–1 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 2025 | — |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Italy | 3–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 2025 | — |
| 13 Oct 2015 | Italy | 1–2 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2015 | — |
| 9 Sep 2014 | Italy | 0–2 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2014 | — |
| 4 Jun 2005 | Italy | 0–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 2005 | — |
| 4 Sep 2004 | Italy | 1–2 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 2004 | — |
| 3 Jun 2000 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 10 Feb 1999 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 27 Jun 1998 | Italy | 0–1 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 1998 | Round of 16 |
| 23 Jun 1994 | Italy | 0–1 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 1994 | Group stage |
| 13 Nov 1991 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1991 | — |
| 5 Jun 1991 | Italy | 2–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1991 | — |
| 19 Oct 1988 | Italy | 1–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 28 May 1987 | Italy | 0–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 25 Sep 1985 | Italy | 2–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 19 Feb 1975 | Italy | 1–4 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 5 Jun 1938 | Italy | 1–2 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 1938 | Round of 16 |
| 27 May 1937 | Italy | 1–3 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 31 Aug 1920 | Italy | 1–2 | Neutral | Olympic Games 1920 | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none