World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Italy: 90% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. An upset — the lower-rated side won.
Meeting 2 of 10, 1942–2024.
Before
After
Before
After
From Italy's side.
| 24 Jun 2024 | Croatia | 1–1 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2024 | Group stage |
| 12 Jun 2015 | Croatia | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2015 | — |
| 16 Nov 2014 | Croatia | 1–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2014 | — |
| 14 Jun 2012 | Croatia | 1–1 | Neutral | UEFA Euro 2012 | Group stage |
| 16 Aug 2006 | Croatia | 0–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 8 Jun 2002 | Croatia | 1–2 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 2002 | Group stage |
| 28 Apr 1999 | Croatia | 0–0 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 8 Oct 1995 | Croatia | 1–1 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1995 | — |
| 16 Nov 1994 | Croatia | 1–2 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1994 | — |
| 5 Apr 1942 | Croatia | 4–0 | Home | Friendly | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none