World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Ukraine: 12.2% (a draw counts half), home advantage included.
Meeting 1 of 10, 1995–2023.
Before
After
Before
After
From Ukraine's side.
| 20 Nov 2023 | Italy | 0–0 | Neutral | UEFA Euro qualification 2023 | — |
| 12 Sep 2023 | Italy | 1–2 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2023 | — |
| 10 Oct 2018 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 29 Mar 2011 | Italy | 0–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 12 Sep 2007 | Italy | 1–2 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 2007 | — |
| 7 Oct 2006 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 2006 | — |
| 30 Jun 2006 | Italy | 0–3 | Neutral | FIFA World Cup 2006 | Quarter-final |
| 2 Jun 2006 | Italy | 0–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 11 Nov 1995 | Italy | 1–3 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1995 | — |
| 29 Mar 1995 | Italy | 0–2 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1995 | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none