World Football Elo before kick-off, and what the result did to it.
Expected score for Portugal: 30% (a draw counts half), home advantage included. An upset — the lower-rated side won.
Meeting 8 of 27, 1925–2018.
Before
After
Before
After
From Portugal's side.
| 17 Nov 2018 | Italy | 0–0 | Away | UEFA Nations League 2018 | — |
| 10 Sep 2018 | Italy | 1–0 | Home | UEFA Nations League 2018 | — |
| 16 Jun 2015 | Italy | 1–0 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 6 Feb 2008 | Italy | 1–3 | Neutral | Friendly | — |
| 31 Mar 2004 | Italy | 1–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 12 Feb 2003 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 26 Apr 2000 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 17 Nov 1993 | Italy | 0–1 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 1993 | — |
| 24 Feb 1993 | Italy | 1–3 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 1993 | — |
| 31 May 1992 | Italy | 0–0 | Neutral | USA Cup 1992 | — |
| 5 Dec 1987 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | UEFA Euro qualification 1987 | — |
| 14 Feb 1987 | Italy | 0–1 | Home | UEFA Euro qualification 1987 | — |
| 3 Apr 1985 | Italy | 0–2 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 24 Sep 1980 | Italy | 1–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 22 Dec 1976 | Italy | 2–1 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 7 Apr 1976 | Italy | 1–3 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 10 May 1970 | Italy | 1–2 | Home | Friendly | — |
| 27 Mar 1967 | Italy | 1–1 | Away | Friendly | — |
| 22 Dec 1957 | Italy | 0–3 | Away | FIFA World Cup qualification 1957 | — |
| 26 May 1957 | Italy | 3–0 | Home | FIFA World Cup qualification 1957 | — |
Score: openfootball · Scorers: openfootball · Line-ups: none · Cards: none